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Storting No

by io.github.pipeworx-io

Polymarket Edges

polymarket_edges
Read-onlyIdempotent

Scan top Polymarket markets and return opportunities where Pipeworx data disagrees with market price. Built for "what should I bet on today" — agents discover opportunities without paging hundreds of markets. FIVE MODEL FAMILIES grouped into three response segments under by_segment: (1) MODEL_DRIVEN — crypto_price (lognormal barrier from 90d FRED log-returns) and news_momentum (GDELT 7d/21d article-volume ratio, soft signal w/ halved Kelly). (2) STRUCTURAL_ARBITRAGE — partition_overround on mutually-exclusive events; per-leg favorite-longshot bias correction with per-sport α (tennis 1.02, soccer 1.10, MMA 1.15, default 1.0); placeholder-slug filter drops will-person-X / will-team-Y / will-manager-Z / will-someone-else- backstops; partitions with >20% placeholder fraction skipped entirely. (3) CONCENTRATED_LONGSHOT — basket trade when one leg ≥75% AND ≥2 longshots ≤8% AND portfolio return ≥25:1; rare-by-design (gates relaxed Run 8 from prior 85%/5%/50:1). EVERY OPPORTUNITY carries edge_pp_net (after slippage), kelly_fraction + kelly_fraction_half (capped at 0.25), market.liquidity, market.spread_pp, market.volume, plus a 24h-move warning ("Market moved X.Xpp in 24h") when the recent move alone exceeds the edge — your edge may already be in the price. TRADEABLE-EDGE KNOBS: min_liquidity / max_spread_pp drop opportunities where edge isn't realizable; min_partition_leg_kelly filters partitions by best per-leg Kelly. RESPONSE TOP-LEVEL: by_segment{model_driven,structural_arbitrage,concentrated_longshot}, fed_candidates/fed_note (Fed bets surface here, excluded from ranking — 1m-T vs EFFR signal is unreliable at meeting-month horizons without paid OIS/SOFR-futures data), and _diagnostics{concentrated_longshot:{...funnel counters},category_counts,filter_skips} so callers can see WHY a segment is empty (top-N stale, all candidates failed gates, knob dropped them). Cached 1h at the KV level keyed on all knobs.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
limitNoTop N edges to return after ranking. Default 10, max 25.
windowNoPolymarket volume window to filter markets. Default 1wk.
min_kellyNoMinimum half-Kelly fraction (as decimal, e.g. 0.005 = 0.5% of bankroll) to include single-leg opportunities. Default 0 (no filter). Skips opportunities that are too small to bet sensibly even if the edge is large.
min_edge_ppNoMinimum |edge| in percentage points to include (default 0.5). Edge is evaluated NET of slippage.
slippage_ppNoAssumed execution slippage in percentage points per leg (default 0.3). Subtracted from raw |edge| before ranking and Kelly sizing. Polymarket has zero trading fees as of 2024 but bid/ask + thin depth typically eats 20-50bp per trade. Bump for very thin partitions; drop to 0 if you have a smarter fill model.
max_spread_ppNoTradeable-edge filter. Maximum bid/ask spread in percentage points on the representative market. Default null (no filter). Set to 2 to require tight books — anything wider eats most plausible edges.
min_liquidityNoTradeable-edge filter. Minimum $ liquidity on the representative market (or for partition_overround, on at least one top_leg). Default 0 (no filter). Set to 5000 to drop thin-book opportunities where executing the edge would walk the book past breakeven.
category_filterNoComma-separated list to restrict the output: "model_driven" (crypto_price + news_momentum), "structural_arbitrage" (partition_overround), "concentrated_longshot". Combine like "model_driven,structural_arbitrage". Default: all.
min_partition_leg_kellyNoMinimum BEST per-leg half-Kelly fraction across a partition_overround opportunity's top_legs (or longshot_basket legs). Default 0 (no filter). Partition arbs always return kelly_fraction_half=0 at the parent level by design (basket trades don't compose to single-leg Kelly), so min_kelly never filters them — this knob applies to the per-leg Kelly inside top_legs instead. Use to suppress thin partitions whose individual leg edges aren't worth the per-leg slippage cost.

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections. Dates show when Glama detected each change.

  1. First observed

TDQS

A4.2/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already declare readOnlyHint, idempotentHint, and destructiveHint, but the description adds substantial behavioral detail: caching behavior ('Cached 1h at the KV level keyed on all knobs'), response segmentation with diagnostics funnel counters, and the specific gate logic for structural arbitrage placeholders. It also discloses a limitation (Fed signal unreliability), providing deep transparency beyond the structured fields.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness2/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is an extremely long, dense paragraph with many parentheticals and all-caps headers. While the information is relevant, it exceeds what an agent needs for selection and invocation; it could be restructured with bullet points or separated into a brief summary plus details. The front-loading of the core purpose is good, but the length hurts readability.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

With no output schema, the description compensates by thoroughly explaining the response structure (by_segment, fed_candidates, _diagnostics), the meaning of edge_pp_net and kelly fractions, and the optional filters. It also covers caveats like the 24h-move warning and placeholder-slug filtering. For a complex tool with 9 parameters and no output schema, this is remarkably complete.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters3/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema description coverage is 100%, so the baseline is 3 as the schema already documents all parameters. The description does reinforce the purpose of knobs like min_liquidity and max_spread_pp, but it does not add significant meaning beyond what the schema provides. The description's mention of parameter behavior (e.g., min_partition_leg_kelly applies to per-leg) is mirrored in the schema text.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description opens with a specific verb and resource: 'Scan top Polymarket markets and return opportunities where Pipeworx data disagrees with market price.' This clearly distinguishes the tool from siblings like polymarket_arbitrage or polymarket_edge_tracker by focusing on Pipeworx cross-referencing. The purpose is unambiguous and immediately actionable.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description explicitly states its intended use case: 'Built for "what should I bet on today" — agents discover opportunities without paging hundreds of markets.' It also explains the tradeable-edge knobs and their effect, giving clear context for when to adjust parameters. However, it does not directly reference sibling tools or explicitly state when to use an alternative, so it stops short of full exclusion guidance.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A3.7/5.0
Disambiguation2/5

Several tools are near-duplicates: ask_pipeworx, ask_pipeworx_beta, and ask_pipeworx_grounded all route questions to the same underlying toolset with only minor differences. Additionally, the five polymarket_* tools overlap significantly in purpose, and the mix of Storting parliament tools with a general-purpose data platform creates confusion about which tool is appropriate.

Naming Consistency2/5

Tool names use snake_case but with inconsistent conventions. Some are verb-first (get_, list_, discover_, validate_), while others are noun-first (entity_profile, bet_research, recent_alerts). There are predictable prefixes like ask_pipeworx and polymarket_, but overall the naming pattern is not uniform, making it harder to predict tool names.

Tool Count2/5

With 38 tools, the count exceeds the 25-tool threshold for 'too many.' Many tools are unrelated to the server name 'Storting No' (which implies a Norwegian parliament focus), and the broad range of data-research and prediction-market tools feels bloated for the apparent scope. A smaller, more focused set would improve coherence.

Completeness3/5

The Storting-related tools cover the main parliamentary entities (cases, parties, representatives, sessions, votes) and include an export fallback for any additional data.stortinget.no resource. The Pipeworx side has meta-tools (ask, discover, suggest) and specialized analyses (entity_profile, validate_claim, polymarket_*). However, there are notable gaps, such as no direct tool for searching parliamentary speeches or committee documents without relying on the generic export, and the mixed domains leave some workflows incomplete.

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