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Polymarket Fill Risk

polymarket_fill_risk
Read-onlyIdempotent

Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth. REQUIRES one of market (single-market mode) or event (basket/partition mode). SINGLE-MARKET: pass a market slug/URL + side (buy_yes|sell_yes|buy_no|sell_no, default buy_yes) + size_usd (default 1000 — max spend on buys, target proceeds on sells); walks the ladder and returns top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, shares_filled, max_fillable_usd, and a verdict (clean|degraded|cannot_fill). BASKET: pass an event slug/URL + side (sell_yes = capture overround by selling every leg, buy_yes = capture underround; default auto from partition sum) + size_usd interpreted as settlement notional S (shares per leg; each share pays $1); returns theoretical_sum vs realizable_sum (top-of-book vs VWAP across all legs), capture_ratio, profit_usd at executed size, per-leg fill detail, thin_legs[], max_clean_notional_usd, and forced_directional_risk naming the legs most likely to strand you unhedged. USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500 — theoretical overround on thin books is not capturable, and partial basket fills convert an arb into an unhedged directional position (the dominant loss mode in real arb-bot P&L).

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
sideNoSingle-market: buy_yes | sell_yes | buy_no | sell_no (default buy_yes). Basket: sell_yes | buy_yes (default auto — sell if partition sum > 1, buy if < 1).
eventNoBasket mode: event slug or full polymarket.com URL — checks every leg of the partition.
marketNoSingle-market mode: market slug or full polymarket.com URL.
size_usdNoSingle-market: USD to spend (buys) or target proceeds (sells). Basket: settlement notional — shares per leg, each paying $1 at resolution. Default 1000, clamp 10–1,000,000.

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections. Dates show when Glama detected each change.

  1. First observed

TDQS

A5/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

While annotations already declare readOnlyHint=true and destructiveHint=false, the description adds rich behavioral context: it walks the order-book ladder, returns specific metrics (top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp), and explains basket mode's forced directional risk. This goes far beyond the annotations and helps the agent understand the tool's non-obvious behavior.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is long but every sentence earns its place. It is structured with explicit labels (REQUIRES, SINGLE-MARKET, BASKET, USE THIS) that make it scannable. Despite the length, there is zero fluff and the information density is high, appropriate for a complex tool with two modes.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Given no output schema and no nested objects, the description carries full burden for understanding return values and edge cases. It covers both modes, parameters, default behaviors, output fields, risk warnings, and usage thresholds. This is complete for the tool's complexity.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters5/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Although schema coverage is 100%, the description adds meaning by explaining how size_usd is interpreted per mode ('max spend on buys, target proceeds on sells' vs 'settlement notional S'), and clarifies the side parameter's defaults and auto-selection in basket mode. This provides context that the schema alone lacks.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description opens with a specific verb+resource: 'Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth.' It clearly distinguishes itself from siblings by focusing on fill risk versus theoretical edge, and explicitly names both modes (single-market and basket) with concrete outputs.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Usage is explicitly stated: 'USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500.' It also explains why (theoretical overround on thin books is not capturable, partial fills create directional risk), making the context and exclusions clear.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A3.7/5.0
Disambiguation2/5

Several tools have unclear boundaries: ask_pipeworx and ask_pipeworx_beta are explicitly identical in behavior today, while discover_tools and suggest_questions overlap as discovery/onboarding entry points. The Polymarket tools also blur together across arbitrage, edges, edge tracking, and fill risk, making tool selection prone to mistakes despite long descriptions.

Naming Consistency3/5

Names are consistently lowercase snake_case and readable, but they mix conventions: some are clear verb_noun actions like validate_claim and compare_entities, while others are noun-led like recent_alerts and entity_profile, or domain-prefixed like polymarket_edges and opensensemap_nearby. There is no single predictable naming pattern across the set.

Tool Count2/5

At 34 tools, this exceeds the 25+ threshold for a heavy tool set, and the tools span several unrelated domains: OpenSenseMap sensors, Pipeworx data access, Polymarket research, memory, subscriptions, and AI visibility. A server named Opensensemap hosting this much unrelated functionality feels poorly scoped.

Completeness3/5

The OpenSenseMap portion covers nearby discovery, box lookup, and area averages, but lacks historical/time-series access and station lifecycle operations, which are notable gaps for a sensor data server. The broader Pipeworx surface has strong lookup, research, validation, and subscription coverage, so the main incompleteness is in the named domain.