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Polymarket Edge Tracker

polymarket_edge_tracker
Read-onlyIdempotent

Edge persistence and decay telemetry built from daily polymarket_edges snapshots. Answers "how long has this edge existed and is it shrinking?" — a fresh wide edge and a 3-week-old wide edge are different trades (the latter is wide for a reason nobody is willing to take). Args: days (lookback, default 14, max 30), window (snapshot family, default "1wk"). RESPONSE: tracked[] = every opportunity in the LATEST snapshot with its full edge_pp_net time-series across prior snapshots, first_seen, trend (new | widening | stable | decaying) and decay_pp_per_day (both computed on |edge_pp_net| — the value itself is signed by trade direction, negative = SELL YES); expired[] = opportunities that appeared in earlier snapshots but are GONE from the latest (closed, resolved, or arbed away) with their lifespan_days — the median lifespan is your competition clock; snapshot_dates[] = which days actually have data (snapshots are written when polymarket_edges runs on a cache-miss, so gaps mean nobody scanned that day). LIMITS: history depth is bounded by the 60-day snapshot TTL and starts from when snapshotting was enabled; decay numbers come from daily closes of edge_pp_net (net of default slippage), not intraday.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
daysNoLookback in days (default 14, clamp 2-30).
windowNoWhich polymarket_edges window family to read snapshots for: 24hr | 1wk | 1mo (default 1wk).

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections. Dates show when Glama detected each change.

  1. First observed

TDQS

A4.4/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Beyond the read-only annotation, the description discloses critical behavior: snapshots are written on cache-miss, data gaps exist, history is bounded by 60-day TTL, and decay is computed from daily closes not intraday. It also clarifies the signed nature of edge_pp_net and the absolute value used for trend/decay. This is substantial added context, not contradicted by annotations.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is long but well-structured with Args, RESPONSE, and LIMITS sections, and every sentence provides load-bearing detail. It is front-loaded with the core purpose. While dense, the structure prevents bloat, making it appropriate for the tool's complexity.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

With no output schema, the description thoroughly specifies the exact response shape: tracked[], expired[], snapshot_dates[], each with field details. It also covers limitations (TTL, daily closes) and data gaps. This is complete for an agent to invoke and interpret results.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters3/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100%, so the schema already documents both parameters. The description restates defaults and adds 'snapshot family' context for window, but does not significantly enhance beyond schema. The description omits the min clamp of 2 for days, so it's not fully accurate. Baseline 3 is appropriate.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states the tool's function: edge persistence and decay telemetry, answering how long an edge has existed and whether it is shrinking. It references polymarket_edges snapshots, distinguishing it from sibling tools like polymarket_edges that likely list current edges. This is a specific verb+resource with scope.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description gives clear context for when to use it: when you need to know edge persistence/decay rather than just current edge values. It explains the distinction between fresh and old wide edges, and notes data gaps. However, it does not explicitly name alternatives or state when not to use it, so it's close to 4.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A3.8/5.0
Disambiguation2/5

Several tool clusters are hard to distinguish: the four ask_pipeworx variants overlap heavily (beta currently behaves identically to ask_pipeworx, and grounded shares routing), and the half-dozen prediction-market tools (bet_research, polymarket_edges, polymarket_arbitrage, polymarket_edge_tracker, polymarket_fill_risk, polymarket_kalshi_spread) have fuzzy boundaries. Memory and markdown utilities are clear, but the overlapping data-query and prediction-market clusters create real misselection risk.

Naming Consistency4/5

Names are almost uniformly snake_case and mostly verb-first (ask_, compare_, extract_, scan_, validate_, remember, forget), which is predictable. Minor deviations like entity_profile, recent_changes, and polymarket_edges are noun-first but still follow the same lowercase_snake pattern, so no chaotic mixing of conventions exists.

Tool Count2/5

34 tools is heavy for a server seemingly named 'Markdown', especially when the majority are actually Pipeworx data-research and prediction-market tools. Several tools duplicate or wrap each other (ask_pipeworx_beta, scan_competitor_ai_presence, bet_research et al.), so the count feels bloated; it is not as extreme as 50+, but it exceeds a well-scoped set.

Completeness4/5

Within the actual dominant domain — structured data research plus prediction markets — the surface is broad: routing queries, grounded answers, deep research, entity profiles, comparisons, resolution, claim validation, semantic search, discoverability, subscriptions/alerts, and memory are all covered. Minor gaps exist (e.g. no direct pipeworx:// citation-fetch tool, and markdown support is thin), but the core workflows have no dead ends.