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Polymarket Edge Tracker

polymarket_edge_tracker
Read-onlyIdempotent

Edge persistence and decay telemetry built from daily polymarket_edges snapshots. Answers "how long has this edge existed and is it shrinking?" — a fresh wide edge and a 3-week-old wide edge are different trades (the latter is wide for a reason nobody is willing to take). Args: days (lookback, default 14, max 30), window (snapshot family, default "1wk"). RESPONSE: tracked[] = every opportunity in the LATEST snapshot with its full edge_pp_net time-series across prior snapshots, first_seen, trend (new | widening | stable | decaying) and decay_pp_per_day (both computed on |edge_pp_net| — the value itself is signed by trade direction, negative = SELL YES); expired[] = opportunities that appeared in earlier snapshots but are GONE from the latest (closed, resolved, or arbed away) with their lifespan_days — the median lifespan is your competition clock; snapshot_dates[] = which days actually have data (snapshots are written when polymarket_edges runs on a cache-miss, so gaps mean nobody scanned that day). LIMITS: history depth is bounded by the 60-day snapshot TTL and starts from when snapshotting was enabled; decay numbers come from daily closes of edge_pp_net (net of default slippage), not intraday.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
daysNoLookback in days (default 14, clamp 2-30).
windowNoWhich polymarket_edges window family to read snapshots for: 24hr | 1wk | 1mo (default 1wk).

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections. Dates show when Glama detected each change.

  1. First observed

TDQS

A4.7/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Beyond the annotations (readOnly, idempotent, non-destructive), the description discloses significant behavioral details: snapshots are written only on cache-miss, gaps mean no scan that day, history bounded by 60-day TTL, decay based on daily closes not intraday, and response structure includes expired opportunities and median lifespan. This fully enriches the agent's understanding.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is well-structured with clear sections: purpose, args, response, and limits. It is dense but every sentence contributes useful information. Front-loaded with the core question, making it immediately clear what the tool does.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Given no output schema, the description thoroughly explains the response format (tracked[], expired[], snapshot_dates[]) with field meanings. It also covers limitations (TTL, start time) and operational behavior (cache-miss gaps). The tool is simple (2 params) and the description is fully sufficient for correct invocation and interpretation.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100%, but the description adds value by specifying defaults (days default 14, max 30; window default '1wk') and clarifying 'window' as a snapshot family. This goes beyond the schema's basic descriptions, enhancing parameter understanding.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states the tool's purpose: 'Edge persistence and decay telemetry' and answers the specific question 'how long has this edge existed and is it shrinking?'. It distinguishes itself from sibling polymarket_edges by focusing on time-series snapshots rather than current edges, making it a unique and specific resource.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description implies when to use this tool via its core question ('how long has this edge existed and is it shrinking?') and the contrast with a 'fresh wide edge' vs a '3-week-old wide edge'. However, it does not explicitly name sibling tools as alternatives or state when not to use it, so it falls short of a 5.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A3.9/5.0
Disambiguation2/5

Several tool clusters are near-duplicates or easy to confuse: ask_pipeworx, ask_pipeworx_beta, and ask_pipeworx_grounded are nearly identical (beta currently matches stable exactly), while polymarket_edges, polymarket_arbitrage, and bet_research all scan prediction-market opportunities with overlapping outputs. entity_profile/compare_entities/recent_changes and ai_visibility_check/scan_competitor_ai_presence add further redundancy. Despite detailed descriptions, the boundaries require careful reading, so an agent is likely to misselect.

Naming Consistency3/5

All names are snake_case and readable, with useful prefixes like ask_, polymarket_, pipeworx_, and scan_. However, conventions are mixed: verb_noun (ask_pipeworx, list_subscriptions, resolve_entity) coexists with bare nouns (datasets, metadata, query) and noun-first compounds (entity_profile, bet_research, deep_research). There is no single predictable pattern.

Tool Count2/5

34 tools is above the 25-tool threshold, and the set spans multiple unrelated domains such as data routing, prediction markets, memory, subscriptions, Virginia Open Data, AI visibility, and npm dependency checks. Several tools are effectively wrappers or near-overlaps that could be consolidated, e.g., ai_visibility_check vs scan_competitor_ai_presence and polymarket_edges vs polymarket_arbitrage. The surface feels bloated for a single server.

Completeness4/5

Within its main sub-domains the set is solid: memory has remember/recall/forget, subscriptions have subscribe/unsubscribe/list/recent_alerts, research has resolve_entity/compare_entities/entity_profile/recent_changes/validate_claim, and Polymarket has detection/arbitrage/fill-risk/edge-tracking. Minor gaps exist — no tool to fetch a raw pipeworx:// record, no write/update for Virginia Open Data, and no trade execution for prediction markets — but these do not create dead ends for a research-focused agent.