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Carbon Interface

by io.github.pipeworx-io

Polymarket Arbitrage

polymarket_arbitrage
Read-onlyIdempotent

Find arbitrage opportunities on Polymarket via monotonicity violations + partition-sum checks. Call with NO args for a trending_scan of the top ~200 markets by weekly volume; pass event for the strongest per-event partition_check, or topic for a themed cross-event scan. event (recommended for a specific market): pass a Polymarket event slug like "fed-decision-may-2026" or "when-will-bitcoin-hit-150k"; walks child markets, checks date-axis / threshold-axis ordering AND computes the partition_check (sum of YES prices across mutually-exclusive legs — should ≈1; deviations >3pp emit a BUY/SELL EVERY LEG signal). topic (for cross-event scanning): pass a seed question like "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal" or "Fed rate decision"; searches related events across the platform, flattens markets, runs the comparator on the union. Cross-event mode catches "...by May 31" vs "...by Jun 30" patterns that single-event misses. SEMANTIC ANCHOR: cross-event pairs require ≥0.30 Jaccard similarity on question tokens (prevents Powell-Fed-Pause being paired with Powell-DOJ-probe); skipped_low_similarity surfaces the rejected pair count. PARTITION FILTER: drops will-person-X / will-manager-Y / will-someone-else- placeholder slugs; partitions with >20% placeholder fraction return null arb signal. Response: opportunities[] (gap_pp, suggested_trade, reasoning, monotonicity violation context), and in event mode partition_check{sum_yes_prices, gap_from_1, placeholders_filtered, suggested_trade}. FILL CHECK: when the partition signal fires, arbitrage.fill_check prices it against live CLOB depth (theoretical_edge_pp_at_book vs realizable_edge_pp at 1000 shares/leg, thin_legs[]) — realizable_edge_pp ≤ 0 means the overround exists only at last-trade, not in the book; do not trade it. For custom sizing use polymarket_fill_risk.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
eventNoSingle-event mode (use this if you know the specific Polymarket event): event slug like "fed-decision-may-2026" or "when-will-bitcoin-hit-150k". Full Polymarket URLs also accepted.
topicNoCross-event mode (use this if you want to scan related events across the platform): a topic or seed question like "Fed rate decision" or "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal". Tool searches Polymarket for related events and checks monotonicity across them.

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections. Dates show when Glama detected each change.

  1. First observed

TDQS

A4.8/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Even though annotations already indicate readOnlyHint, openWorldHint, etc., the description adds deep behavioral context: how the partition check works (>3pp deviations trigger signals), placeholder filtering, Jaccard similarity >=0.30, and the critical fill check with live CLOB depth. This goes far beyond the annotations and clarifies exactly what the tool computes and the caveat about book depth.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is long but well-structured, with clear sections for modes, semantic anchor, partition filter, response, and fill check. It front-loads the core purpose. Every major behavior is covered, though the density might be overwhelming for quick reading; it earns its length given the tool's complexity.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

For a complex tool with no output schema, the description fully explains the response structure (opportunities[], partition_check, fill_check) and the interpretation of results (when to trade, when not). It also provides domain context (monotonicity, partition sums, Jaccard) and covers edge cases, making it complete for an agent to invoke correctly.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100%, so the baseline is 3. However, the description adds meaningful detail beyond the schema: it explains that 'event' takes a slug or URL, 'topic' takes a seed question, and no args runs a trending scan. It also clarifies the difference in behavior between event and topic, which helps the agent pick the right parameter.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description immediately states the tool's purpose: "Find arbitrage opportunities on Polymarket via monotonicity violations + partition-sum checks." It clearly distinguishes between 'event' and 'topic' modes and even mentions the no-argument trending scan, differentiated from all sibling tools.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Explicit usage guidance is provided: 'event (recommended for a specific market)' and 'topic (for cross-event scanning)' with concrete examples. It also tells the agent when not to trade via the fill check (realizable_edge_pp ≤ 0) and points to polymarket_fill_risk for custom sizing, showing awareness of alternatives.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A3.8/5.0
Disambiguation2/5

Multiple tools are near-duplicates or heavily overlap: ask_pipeworx, ask_pipeworx_beta, and ask_pipeworx_grounded are nearly identical, several polymarket_* tools cover the same edge-detection domain, and scan_competitor_ai_presence is just a wrapper around ai_visibility_check. Agents will frequently struggle to pick the right tool.

Naming Consistency3/5

Most tools use snake_case, but the pattern is inconsistent: verb_noun (estimate_electricity, resolve_entity), noun_phrase (entity_profile, recent_changes), brand-specific (ask_pipeworx, pipeworx_trending), and family-prefixed (polymarket_*). The naming is readable but lacks a single cohesive convention.

Tool Count2/5

At 34 tools, the set is far larger than the 'Carbon Interface' name implies. It piles together carbon estimation, a massive data-router, prediction-market analysis, memory, subscriptions, and meta-tools, making the surface feel bloated and unfocused.

Completeness3/5

The carbon-estimation purpose is thin (only three estimators with no lifecycle), but the broader Pipeworx/data and prediction-market subdomains are fairly well covered. Gaps exist in each subdomain (e.g., no order placement for betting, no carbon scope beyond the three estimates), and the lack of a clear primary domain makes coverage hard to assess.

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