Predict Market Trajectory
predict_market_trajectoryForecast a DCPI market's near-term trajectory (next 1-8 quarters). Projects excess_power_score and constraint_score forward with confidence bands that WIDEN with horizon, from DC Hub's daily DCPI snapshot history — the only source that can, because it owns the time-series. Use to answer "is this market trending toward BUILD or AVOID?" or "will Dallas power stay tight over the next 6 months?". Params: market_slug (required, metro slug e.g. dallas, phoenix, northern-virginia — valid slugs come from rank_markets / get_market_dcpi_rank); horizon_quarters (optional 1-8, default 4; 2 = ~6 months out). Returns {market_slug, method, basis{history_points, history_span_days, slope_per_day, trend}, horizon_quarters, projection[{quarter_out, excess_power_score, excess_power_band, constraint_score, constraint_band}], caveat, snapshot_record}. HONEST: linear trend extrapolation, NOT a guarantee — bands widen with horizon and short history; needs >=3 daily snapshots or it declines. Do NOT use for a single point-in-time verdict (use get_market_dcpi_rank) or to rank many markets (use rank_markets).
Input Schema
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
| market_slug | Yes | Market slug (metro), e.g. dallas, phoenix, northern-virginia — valid slugs come from rank_markets / get_market_dcpi_rank | |
| horizon_quarters | No | Forecast horizon in quarters (1-8, default 4); 2 = ~6 months ahead |
Output Schema
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
| quota | No | Caller quota state (remaining calls, tier) when available. | |
| _entity | No | Payload class discriminator (e.g. facility|market|iso_grid|queue_results|deal|report|response) — branch on this before parsing the rest. | |
| citation | No | Machine-readable citation: how to attribute DC Hub (dchub.cloud) for this payload. Normally an OBJECT {source, url, license, cite_as, retrieved_at}; a bare string is accepted and carries the attribution line itself. | |
| provenance | No | Collection-level provenance block: {source, method, as_of, verification_counts, cite_url_template, license, cite_as}. Quote the verification level when citing. | |
| _front_door | No | In-band front-door hint (first workflow-entry tool of a session): call plan_query(intent) first for the ordered multi-step plan. | |
| _return_loop | No | Suggested next-session delta call (get_changes since=24h) so you pull only what changed. | |
| site_evaluation_handoff | No | Pre-built follow-up calls (analyze_site / get_water_risk args) when the payload carries coordinates — an array of {tool, parameters, why} entries. |